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Individual investors can’t get enough of Tesla Inc. In recent weeks, they have scooped up shares of Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker at a frenzied pace, setting repeated records for one-day purchases. Already in 2023, they have spent a net $13.6 billion on Tesla shares, approaching the record sum of nearly $17 billion for all of last year, according to Vanda Research.
The presentation did, however, lay out broad plans aimed at making Tesla the largest car company in the world. The announcements were tepid enough that strategists at Vanda Research wrote in a note to clients that this month could see a sell-off for Tesla stock. That said, Zacks Investment Research forecasts 30% upside for Tesla, and that climb could happen in 2023. While Tesla has long been touted as innovative and futuristic over the last decade, Bespoke Investment Group concluded that the company is now actually a normal, boring car maker. The stock market is getting the jitters with a key bearish signal flashing red again.
But they’re also bowing to pressure from retail investors to be more transparent. What’s happening: Investor days evolved from analyst days — meetings that large, public companies historically held privately for their core institutional investors and Wall Street analysts. But the recent influx of retail investors into the stock market has changed that. “A lot of these companies know they need to focus on retail investors now,” said Katie Perry, general manager of investor relations at investing platform Public. ▸ Tesla’s first-ever investor day will be live-streamed Wednesday from its Gigafactory in Austin, Texas.
AMC stock surged 23% on Monday after a judge scheduled a hearing for shareholders suing the company. The stock became popular in 2021 as a meme stock on Reddit. Investors of the movie theatre chain are scheduled to vote on a conversion of the preferred shares to common shares on March 14 — which will increase the pool of common stock and thus dilute the voting power of common shareholders. This boosted market sentiment and sent AMC common shares soaring. Insider's Phil Rosen reported on Thursday that the rally is like the meme stock boom of 2021.
And yet, despite the dip this week, markets right now are brimming with bullishness — and Reddit-loving retail investors are partying like it's 2021. Retail investors are rebuffing Jerome Powell in piling into speculative assets. Remember, at the start of the pandemic, government stimulus and near-zero interest rates gave retail investors the perfect opportunity to lay down speculative bets. "With all of these headwinds, retail investors are jumping in on maybe some ill-conceived optimism," Goldman said. But economic data be damned, retail investors are still piling into the riskiest corners of the market.
Bullish sentiment has returned in a big way among retail investors as they've started the year piling record amounts into stocks. Speculative bets are backSome of what retail investors are buying has troubled observers. Different from 2021, however, is that institutional and retail investors look like they're on the same team, at least to a noticeable degree. To JPMorgan's Kolanovic, retail investors' optimism foreshadows future weakness in the stock market, as weak hands get wiped out by volatility, similar to how 2022 played out. With the Fed still set to tighten monetary policy, retail investors' enthusiasm for risky assets could backfire like it did last year.
Retail investors poured a record amount of money into the stock market in January, according to Vanda Research. Retail investors' interest in the market picked up during the Covid pandemic, at one point fueling a meme-stock frenzy. JPMorgan's chief global market strategist, Marko Kolanovic, also recently noted the pickup in retail interest. Here are the top securities bought by retail investors so far this year, as of Feb. 15, according to Vanda Research. "Contrary to popular belief, retail money market funds' net assets at an all-time high suggest that retail investors still have plenty of capital to allocate to riskier investments, provided that market conditions remain supportive," he added.
Retail investors had a poor year in 2022, with the average portfolio ending the year down around 35% from all-time highs, Vanda Research previously estimated. However, retail investors have shown renewed interest in the early part of 2023. Meanwhile, shares of early meme stocks GameStop (GME.N) and AMC Entertainment (AMC.N) have pared some losses after last year's tumble. "Investor enthusiasm is also attracting short-sellers that are skeptical about some of the resulting valuations," said Evan Niu, an analyst at Ortex, which tracks real-time short interest data. AI software firm Veritone (VERI.O), SoundHound and BigBear.ai also show a pick up in short interest, Ortex data showed.
Tesla has crushed short sellers over the past month as the stock soared 70%, according to S3 Partners. Hedge funds betting against Tesla lost $7.6 billion over the past 30 days, making it the least profitable short. Tesla stock has been on a tear so far this year after Musk cut prices and reiterated the company's growth targets. The swift one-month surge in Tesla stock has wiped out about half of the gains short-sellers made last year betting against the company. At the end of December, short-sellers had made a $15 billion profit in 2022, making Tesla the most profitable short of the year.
Not that Elon Musk really needs more attention, but his company's stock warrants a look for a very successful six-week stretch. Last year, Tesla drew headlines for its roughly 65% stock decline. Bank of America strategists have forecasted that the move can ultimately boost sales volume, and Wedbush gave Tesla stock a 35% upside. And according to Vanda Research, retail investors' bullishness for Tesla is driving a FOMO Tesla trade that has pushed inflows from the cohort into the stock market at levels not seen since 2020. Alibaba stock price on Feb.10, 2023 Markets Insider10.
Retail investors are pilling into artificial intelligence stocks, the latest craze to hit Wall Street, according to Vanda Research. Overall, aggregate inflows from retail investors over the past five trading days (ending Wednesday) have reached levels not seen since 2020-2021, the firm said. "We believe FOMO and momentum remain the main drivers of flows, meaning that retail investors remain susceptible to negative catalysts. However, interest in AI remains high as retail investors rotate into other AI-related small-cap stocks, he noted. Microsoft and Nvidia, already seeing a growing interest from retail investors, may also see investments pick up, according to Vanda.
Feb 7 (Reuters) - Retail investors are piling into small-cap firms that employ artificial intelligence amid intensifying competition between tech titans Google parent Alphabet and Microsoft to secure leadership in the next big driver of growth. The $3-billion AI software firm C3.ai was the fifth most actively traded on Fidelity's platform for small investors on Monday, while drawing record daily retail inflows worth $31.4 million, as per Vanda Research. "Small-cap firms have AI as a much larger part of their business than the larger ones," said Matthew Tuttle, chief executive officer of Tuttle Capital Management on the reason behind retail investors' focus on the smaller firms. SoundHound AI (SOUN.O), which offers a voice AI platform services, and Thailand's security firm Guardforce AI (GFAI.O) have more than doubled so far this year, while analytics firm BigBear.ai gained nine-fold in value. Google-owner Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) on Monday said it would launch a chatbot service Bard and more artificial intelligence for its search engine as well as developers.
"There are several ways to invest in AI," ChatGPT answered. "Purchase shares of private AI companies," it also responded. ChatGPT's charm stems from its natural-language ability, so I asked it:What companies can I invest in for exposure to natural language processing? Microsoft (MSFT): Microsoft has a number of different NLP products, including Microsoft Cognitive Services and the Azure Machine Learning platform. But I asked ChatGPT anyway: Can I invest in ChatGPT?
C3.ai shares soared Friday and were headed higher for the week alongside other AI-tied stocks and ETFsThe frenzy surrounding ChatGPT has contributed to C3.ai shares more than doubling in 2023. C3.ai climbed as much as 30% to $28.48 during Friday's session, notching a 52-week high for shares of the business AI software maker. "The hype surrounding Artificial Intelligence has spilled over into retail investments," said Vanda Research in a note Thursday. The stock's value has more than doubled in 2023, with this week's push coming after C3.ai said it would integrate ChatGPT into its lineup of AI tools. Among exchange-traded funds, the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF and the iShares Robotics and Artificial Intelligence ETF were up roughly 3% and 4% this week.
After a brutal year for technology stocks, individual investors have lost their appetite for buying the dip, with one notable exception. They are still scooping up shares of Tesla Inc. Individual investors’ net purchases of a basket of eight popular tech stocks hit a recent peak in November, before dropping sharply through the end of the year, according to Vanda Research. Buying has since picked up slightly in the new year as tech shares rebound.
Retail investors are beginning to reduce purchases of Tesla as the stock undergoes a historic sell-off. "We are seeing the first signs of retail exhaustion in TSLA," said Vanda Research in a weekly update published Thursday. Tesla stock was down during Thursday's session, by 3% at $110.10 each. While Tesla's stock price was under pressure last year, retail investors loaded up on the shares. Some investors and analysts said Tesla CEO Elon Musk's focus on his newly acquired Twitter and his multi-billion dollar sales of Tesla stock has hurt the car maker's shares.
Retail traders unloaded $3.1 billion in assets this past week, making it the third worst week of net selling in history, according to JPMorgan. Overall, retail traders dumped $4.1 billion in single stocks. Tesla was hit particularly hard, with retail traders selling $811 million of the stock. Retail traders embraced the electric vehicle maker throughout the volatile year. However, some Wall Street analysts have pointed to his takeover of Twitter and his sale of 22 million Tesla shares as problematic for the stock.
It's been a tough year for retail investors — and it's not necessarily expected to get any easier in 2023. "Post-Covid overall net inflow of retail investors has tripled, and almost quadrupled, and stayed there." When it comes to individual stocks, retail investors are buying companies such as Tesla , Apple and Nvidia , according to Vanda Research. Retail investors will likely stick with their game plan into 2023, said Vanda Research's Iachini. "We struggle to see retail investors going back to speculation or doubling down on risky bets to try to make up their losses," he said.
But not all traders are on the same ride — the large, institutional investors on Wall Street have shuffled away from markets while Main Street’s retail investors are still strapped in. But despite this year’s lackluster market, investors bought $800 billion of Exchange Traded Funds which are baskets of stocks typically purchased by retail investors. However, Main Street is holding on to its stocks while Wall Street is running for the hills. One simple explanation is that institutional investors are responsible for vast amounts of money that belong to other people. “Respect, for retail investors, is in short supply,” wrote Azalea Micottis at Informa Financial Intelligence, in a recent note.
Dec 16 (Reuters) - Retail investors are doubling down on Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) as rising interest rates and volatile markets curb their appetite for risky assets such as meme stocks, SPACs and cryptocurrencies. On average, retail investors' portfolios are down about 39% in 2022 after recording gains of 18% in 2021, JPMorgan analysts Peng Cheng and Emma Wu said. The investment trend, however, is leaning more toward ETFs tracking broader markets and away from the meme stock frenzy of 2021 that saw retail investors banding together on social media forums to fuel eye-popping gains in GameStop (GME.N), AMC (AMC.N) and others. Retail investors' average daily trading volume in U.S. stocks has amounted to $13.8 billion so far in 2022, compared with $14.2 billion a year earlier, which was the peak of meme stock trading frenzy, according to the report. Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propose some of the biggest changes to American equity market structure in nearly two decades, aimed at boosting transparency and fairness while increasing competition for individual investors' stock orders.
Yet some investors are betting a number of those beaten-down stocks and possibly the broader market could snap back in January, once the selling period is over. DoubleLine founder Jeffrey Gundlach told CNBC on Wednesday that risk assets will likely rally in January once retail investors finish tax-loss selling. Strategists at Evercore wrote on Nov. 30 that they were "buyers of stocks whose 2022 Tax Loss selling pressure will soon abate." Investors appear to have already started selling underperforming shares. Private clients at BofA, for instance, sold nearly $1.4 billion of stocks in likely tax-motivated selling in November, up from roughly $800 million last year, and appear poised to continue that outsized rate of selling this month, the firm said.
Risk-aversion toward stocks looks like it's setting in among retail investors as 2022 winds down. Average daily purchases have dropped to about $1 billion over the past month, around the year's lows, said Vanda Research. Flows "paint a picture of caution" before the last inflation report and Fed meeting in 2022. Tesla, however, remains a favorite among retail investors as the stock "continues to experience an incrementally higher flow of capital," said Vanda. Net retail purchases of Tesla stock were $666.3 million over a five-day period starting last week.
The average retail investor has about a 10% allocation to Tesla, according to a Nov. 30 note from Vanda Research. Even though Tesla has lots of support from retail investors, Vanda thinks there may be trouble ahead for the automaker. "TSLA's price is dangerously close to summer 2020 levels – when most new positions were added post the stock split." In addition, Tesla's recent stock decline "coincides with an increase in the stock-on-loan value relative to the total retail holdings of the stock," Iachini added. "This metric may not necessarily equate to margin loans, but we believe it sensibly approximates retail investors' bullish positions on margin," Iachini said.
Even though more than half the money ever invested in bitcoin would now be underwater if it had stayed, crypto monitors insist it's somehow still attracting punters. Cryptocurrency and bitcoin investors seem to be showing few signs of dumping their crypto-related assets, stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), despite the latest wave of turmoil and scandal to crash over the sector. Analysts at JP Morgan estimate that around $25 billion has flowed out of the crypto since May. He estimates that the stablecoin market cap peaked at around $170 billion earlier this year and has declined by around $25 billion since May. That is, $25 billion of redemptions flowing out of crypto, most likely to fiat currency, perhaps cash or cash-like products.
Year-over-year inflation for October is expected to have eased slightly to 7.9%, according to Bloomberg's median estimate, down from 8.2% September. But here's a tidbit I did not find reassuring: The annual inflation rate came in above forecasts in six of the last seven months. While it'd be a good sign if CPI comes in lower than September, that doesn't mean the economy is in the clear — far from it, actually. "If Core inflation comes in greater than 0.5%, the Fed will raise rates more and we would be reevaluating the probability of a recession, and probably raising it higher." The chief global strategist for JPMorgan's investing arm explained why the Fed will cause an unnecessary recession, even as inflation is fading away.
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